Russia is starting to lose ground in Ukraine
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Graphic detail | Tallying the dead<br>Russia is starting to lose ground in Ukraine<br>Our tracker suggests it has suffered its first sustained net loss since October 2023<br>Share
May 17th 2026|2 min read
THAT EVEN a short ceasefire could not hold is evidence the war in Ukraine is unlikely to end soon. Both sides accused the other of repeated violations between May 9th and 11th—and our war tracker, which uses satellite systems to detect the location and intensity of war-related fires, showed no meaningful decline in fighting. Yet the tide of the conflict looks to be turning. Russia’s death toll remains extraordinarily high, and its spring offensive has stalled. Indeed, our analysis suggests that this year it has suffered small but sustained territorial losses for the first time since October 2023.
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