Growth Rate: are you on a billion-dollar curve? — Brutal Audit
The Paul Graham growth test<br>Are you on a billion-dollar growth curve?<br>Paul Graham says a startup comes down to two numbers: your growth rate and how long it lasts. Answer a few questions and we measure both, honestly, against his 15%-a-month bar.
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Answer a few questions about your business<br>The only required input is your monthly revenue. Everything else sharpens the read.
The framework<br>Two numbers, per Paul Graham
In his talk How to Earn a Billion Dollars, Paul Graham argues a startup's outcome comes down to just two numbers: its growth rate, and how long that growth lasts. At 15% a month, revenue multiplies about 4,384x over five years, enough to make a typical founder a billionaire. Neither number requires cheating.<br>Number 1: Growth rate<br>You get it by making something users love so much they tell their friends. We measure your compound monthly rate and grade it against the 15% bar.
Number 2: Duration<br>You get it by being in a big market. Market size sets how long growth can compound. Cheating cannot manufacture either number.
What you get<br>A real growth verdict
Your compound monthly growth rate, across the full window and the trailing 3 and 6 months<br>A 0-100 growth-health score and letter grade, anchored to PG's 15%/month bar<br>Projections of where each growth rate lands you in 1, 2, and 3 years<br>Your time to a $1B revenue run-rate vs the 15%/month path<br>Your phases read off the actual revenue series: ignition, scaling, plateau<br>Copy-paste prompts for the specific growth moves that re-accelerate the curve