Governance Dose Must Match Model Capacity

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Governance Dose Must Match Model Capacity: A Dose–Response Study of Inference-Time Governance Interventions Across Model Scales — From a Two-Point Contrast to a Calibrated Capacity Gate | Zenodo

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Published July 6, 2026

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Governance Dose Must Match Model Capacity: A Dose–Response Study of Inference-Time Governance Interventions Across Model Scales — From a Two-Point Contrast to a Calibrated Capacity Gate

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Toeda, Taiko1

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MOBIUS LLC

Description

How much behavioral governance should be prepended to a language model's context? Prior work in this project established that the answer depends on model capacity, but from only two intervention weights measured at three capacities. This study measures the full curve: four governance doses (none; 3 metacognitive checks, ~0.4KB; 20 checks, ~2.5KB; a complete 42KB governance overlay) crossed with 27 model rungs spanning 0.8B–120B parameters across seven model families, 30 category-stratified prompts per cell, paired raw/governed generation at temperature 0, and a single frozen judge (claude-sonnet-4-6). Three results follow. (1) The crossover sits near 4B: below it, every dose degrades judged content quality (band mean −6.0 for the lightest dose, −37.6 for the overlay); at 4B the light dose turns positive (+3.7, +9.3 on the two 4B rungs) and stays positive through 120B (band means +2.9 to +8.8). (2) Optimal dose rises with capacity but stays light: the 3-check dose is the measured optimum in most rungs above 4B; the 20-check dose wins occasionally; the 42KB overlay is net-negative at every non-reasoning capacity, including 120B. (3) Reasoning-trained models break the parameter rule: DeepSeek-R1 distills tolerate governance one dose class heavier than parameter peers — at 8B the 20-check dose is that model's optimum (+13.4), and at 14B the full overlay is net-positive (+7.4), the only positive overlay cell in the grid. Capacity is therefore not parameter count: a 40-probe deterministic capacity test orders the crossover (Spearman ρ=0.84 vs parameters, non-reasoning) but under-states reasoning models' governance capacity. The measurement recalibrates a shipped, policy-driven capacity gate: suppress below the crossover, inject the light dose above it, and class reasoning families one dose heavier. Recalibration changed a data file, not code. All harness code, frozen assets, and per-cell evidence are released.<br>AI co-observer: Claude Fable 5 (Anthropic) — working method only; the registered author is the human author alone.

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10.5281/zenodo.21222312

(DOI)

10.5281/zenodo.21222326

(DOI)

10.5281/zenodo.20510113

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inference-time governance

prompt overlay

metacognitive prompting

model capacity

dose-response

capacity gate

small language models

LLM evaluation

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10.5281/zenodo.21222310

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July 6, 2026

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July 6, 2026

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