Live Asteroid Apophis Tracking Systems

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Astrophyzix Observatory - Latest PHA Asteroid News, Live Tracking, Official Reports - NASA API'S

Astrophyzix Digital Observatory<br>Asteroid News, Research & Analysis

Astrophyzix.com is the publication of the Astrophyzix™ Digital Observatory, offering unpaywalled, evidence‑driven analysis and real‑time monitoring of PHAs and NEOs.<br>Our tracking consoles and reporting systems use and provide access to official NASA CNEOS Scout, JPL CAD, NeoWs, JPL SBDB, Horizons and NOAA observational datasets, peer‑reviewed sources, and high‑precision numerical methods (IEEE‑754 Float64, RKN4).<br>Designed for students, educators, researchers, and the public, every console is uniquely designed and engineered by the Astrophyzix Digital Observatory. Our research notes and papers can be found at Astrophyzix.Academia.Edu

Live Apophis Tracker V5 :: Astrophyzix

Integrating Extended N-Body Trajectory

Loading Live Data

DOPRI5(4) :: tol 1e-9 :: 8 planets (Simon 1994) + Moon + 16 MBAs + GR + Yarkovsky

UTC clock initialising...

Integrator Status

SOLVERDOPRI5(4) :: 7-stage FSAL :: PI step

STEPS- steps

TOLERANCEtol 1e-9

SELF-TEST-

PLANET EPHSimon et al. 1994 A&A 282, 663

Closest Approach Countdown

2029 Apr 13 :: 21:46 UTC

31,600 km above Earth surface :: peak mag 3.1 (naked-eye visible)

Days

Hrs

Min

Sec

Live Position (numerical integration)

HELIO DIST<br>AU

EARTH DIST<br>AU / Mkm

SPEED<br>km / s

VIS MAG<br>apparent V

RA J2000<br>h m s

DEC J2000<br>deg ' "

Orbit Canvas

HELIOCENTRIC ECLIPTIC J2000<br>N-BODY

Time Offset<br>+/-0 d

View

Top-down<br>Side<br>Isometric 3D

Closest 2029<br>31,600 km<br>+/-3.3 km (3-sigma)

Now<br>Jump to 2029 Flyby

Ephemeris :: +/-15 days from current offset

Date (UTC)r (AU)Delta (AU)<br>v (km/s)MagRA<br>DecElong

Estimated Light Curve (H=19.09, G=0.24)

Speed Context

ISS orbital speed

7.7 km/s

Apophis vs Earth (flyby)

7.4 km/s

Apophis at aphelion

25.5 km/s

Earth around Sun

29.8 km/s

Apophis at perihelion

37.7 km/s

Apophis NOW

Live Force Budget (current cached state)

Magnitude of each acceleration term acting on Apophis at the current time offset. Bars are log-scaled (each tick = x10). Sun is the central two-body force; everything else is what makes Kepler propagation drift. MBAs Sum is the vector sum of the Big-16 main-belt asteroid contributions.

Notable Near-Earth Asteroids

ObjectDiameterea (AU)ClassVisited by

99942 Apophis ~340-450 m0.1920.923<br>PHA, AtenOSIRIS-APEX, Ramses

101955 Bennu 490 m0.2041.126<br>PHA, ApolloOSIRIS-REx (sample 2023)<br>65803 Didymos 780 m + 150 m0.3841.644<br>PHA, binaryDART (2022), Hera (2026)<br>162173 Ryugu 900 m0.1901.190<br>Apollo, C-typeHayabusa2 (sample 2020)<br>433 Eros 16.8 km0.2231.458<br>Amor, S-typeNEAR Shoemaker (2001)

Orbital Elements (JPL Horizons :: Soln 2024-Jun-25)

ECCENTRICITY (e)0.19152moderately elliptical

SEMI-MAJOR AXIS (a)0.92251 AUsmaller than Earth orbit

PERIHELION (q)0.74583 AUjust outside Venus orbit

APHELION (Q)1.09919 AUjust outside Earth orbit

INCLINATION (i)3.337 deglow - near ecliptic

ASC NODE (Omega)204.039 deg

ARG PERIHELION126.652 deg

ORBITAL PERIOD (P)0.886 yr (323.6 d)Aten-class NEO

EPOCHJD 2459215.52021-Jan-01.0 TDB

Physical and Derived

DIAMETER~340-450 mpeanut-shaped, ~170 m short axis

ABSOLUTE MAG (H)19.09Sq-class (stony)

ALBEDO0.350moderately reflective

ROTATION30.56 hrnon-principal-axis tumbler

EARTH MOID0.000382 AU~57,200 km - extremely close

YARKOVSKY A2-2.901e-14 AU/d^2Perez-Hernandez and Benet 2022

MEAN MOTION (n)1.1124 deg/day

SPEED PERIHELION37.7 km/svis-viva, heliocentric

SPEED APHELION25.5 km/s

DISCOVERY2004-Jun-19Tucker, Tholen, Bernardi (Kitt Peak)

2029 Flyby :: Once-in-a-Generation Event

CLOSEST APPROACH2029 Apr 13, 21:46 UTCFriday the 13th

DIST FROM SURFACE31,600 km+/-3.3 km (3-sigma)

DIST FROM CENTRE~38,000 km5.9 Earth radii, ~1/10 lunar dist

GEO BELT ALTITUDE35,786 kmApophis passes INSIDE the GEO ring

PEAK MAGNITUDE+3.1naked-eye visible

EARTH-RELATIVE SPEED7.4 km/sat closest approach

ANGULAR SPEEDup to 42 deg/hr~8 lunar diameters per minute

VISIBLE FROMEurope, Africa, W Asiamoves Centaurus to Pisces (205 deg arc)

LUNAR PASS (16h LATER)~95,000 km from Moon

IMPACT PROBABILITY0ruled out for >100 yr (Sentry, 2021)

Mission and Discovery Timeline

2004 Jun 19

Discovery - Tucker, Tholen, Bernardi at Kitt Peak; provisional designation 2004 MN4.

2004 Dec 27

Peak impact scare - 2.7% chance of 2029 impact; reaches Torino Scale level 4 (highest ever).

2005 Jul

Numbered and named - asteroid (99942) Apophis, after the Egyptian god of chaos.

2013 Jan 09

Earth flyby at 0.097 AU - Goldstone and Arecibo radar observations rule out 2036 impact.

2021 Mar 06

0.113 AU flyby - radar observations rule out impact for over 100 years; removed from Sentry table.

2024 Jun

Latest orbit solution - JPL refines trajectory with Yarkovsky effect; 2029 distance uncertainty +/-3.3 km.

2028 Apr

ESA Ramses launch - Rapid Apophis Mission for Space Safety; arrives Feb 2029.

2029 Apr 13

CLOSE APPROACH - 21:46 UTC; 31,600 km above surface; mag...

earth apophis astrophyzix live asteroid peak

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