Suicide hotlines don't seem to help

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The Impact of Suicide Hotlines on Health: Evidence from 988 Implementation | NBER

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The Impact of Suicide Hotlines on Health: Evidence from 988 Implementation

Benjamin Hansen,

Niketana Kannan

& Jonathan Zhang

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Working Paper 35601

DOI 10.3386/w35601

Issue Date August 2026

This paper examines the impact of the National Suicide Hotline Designation Act, which introduced the universal 988 calling code and earmarked federal funding to suicide crisis call centers in July 2022. We use a difference-in-differences design that leverages pre-existing cross-state variation in crisis line capacity gaps, measured by the number of pre-988 calls routed to a state but not answered in-state. The rollout substantially improved crisis line operations in states with larger baseline capacity gaps: these states answered more calls in-state and increased their in-state answer rates. However, these operational gains did not translate into detectable reductions in suicide mortality. The mortality estimates are precise enough to rule out even modest short-run reductions. We also find no statistically significant improvements in broader population mental health outcomes. These findings suggest that expanding crisis line capacity alone may be insufficient to reduce suicide deaths.

Acknowledgements and Disclosures

Jiae Kim provided excellent research assistance. We thank Shari Eli, Bocar Ba, Jonathan Cantor, Julian Reif, Lise Vesterlund, Tianyi Wang, and seminar participants at ASHEcon 2025, BEDI Health & Wellness Conference, and Southeastern Health Economics Study Group for their valuable suggestions and feedback. The views expressed herein are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the National Bureau of Economic Research.

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Benjamin Hansen, Niketana Kannan, and Jonathan Zhang, "The Impact of Suicide Hotlines on Health: Evidence from 988 Implementation," NBER Working Paper 35601 (2026), https://doi.org/10.3386/w35601.

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